Curtailment Risk Model
Analyze grid curtailment risk by TSO region and technology
Project Location
Click on map or enter coordinates
Curtailment Risk
Project Parameters
TSO Region
England North
GB
Curtailment Trend
Queued Capacity
28 GW
Compensation Mechanism
UK Balancing Mechanism
92% of market price
Annual Curtailment (P50)
11.0%
Revenue at Risk
€2M
Expected Compensation
€2M
Net Annual Impact
€140K
Risk Score
Medium RiskP90 Curtailment
14.8%
Lifetime Net Impact
€5M
Curtailment Projection
Projected annual curtailment over project lifetime (P50 and P90)
Financial Impact Over Time
Annual revenue at risk, compensation, and net impact
Regional Comparison
England North compared to other regions for Onshore Wind
| Region | Curtailment | Compensation | vs Selected |
|---|---|---|---|
England NorthSelected | 8.0% | 92% | - |
| England SouthGB | 2.5% | 90% | 3.2x higher risk |
| TransnetBW (Baden-Wurttemberg)DE | 4.0% | 100% | 100% higher risk |
| ExtremaduraES | 4.5% | 0% | 78% higher risk |
| AndaluciaES | 4.5% | 0% | 78% higher risk |
| Amprion (West Germany)DE | 5.5% | 100% | 45% higher risk |
| AragonES | 7.0% | 0% | Similar risk |
| TenneT (North/Central)DE | 7.5% | 100% | Similar risk |
| EirGrid EastIE | 10.0% | 85% | Similar risk |
Mitigation Options
Strategies to reduce curtailment risk or impact
Battery Storage Co-location
Add battery storage to capture curtailed energy and shift dispatch to higher-price periods.
Reduction: -4.4%
Flexible Connection Agreement
Negotiate active network management agreement for priority dispatch during constrained periods.
Reduction: -2.2%
Behind-the-meter Demand Integration
Co-locate with industrial demand (e.g., hydrogen electrolyzer, data center) to consume curtailed energy.
Reduction: -5.5%
Grid Reinforcement Contribution
Participate in or fund grid upgrade works to accelerate connection and reduce constraints.
Reduction: -2.7%
Alternative Connection Point
Evaluate connection at different substation or voltage level with less congestion.
Reduction: -3.3%