Capture Price Analytics
Analyze renewable energy capture prices and cannibalisation effects across European markets
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Technology
Time Period
PPA Calculator
Latest Capture Rate
75.9%
-2.1%
Avg Capture Rate
76.0%
Trend
-2.1 pp/year
Data Months
34
Avg Baseload
84.1 EUR/MWh
Avg Capture
64.4 EUR/MWh
Avg Spread
19.7 EUR/MWh
Min Rate
69.1%
Max Rate
82.0%
Capture Rate Time Series
Monthly capture rates with 12-month rolling average for Germany - Solar PV
Monthly Rate
12M Rolling Average
Baseload vs Capture Price Spread
Monthly baseload price, capture price, and spread (EUR/MWh)
Capture Price
Spread (Discount)
Cannibalisation Projection
Projected capture rate evolution under different renewable penetration scenarios
Low RE Penetration
Base Case
High RE Penetration
Fair PPA Price Calculation
NPV-neutral PPA price based on capture rate projections (10-year term, 8.0% discount rate)
Fair PPA Price
63.48
EUR/MWh
Implied discount: 31.8%
Avg capture rate: 68.4%
Sensitivity Analysis
| Capture Rate | PPA Price | NPV Impact |
|---|---|---|
| 60.0% | 55.84 EUR | -58.93 |
| 65.0% | 60.49 EUR | -23.05 |
| 70.0% | 65.14 EUR | +12.82 |
| 75.0% | 69.80 EUR | +48.70 |
| 80.0% | 74.45 EUR | +84.58 |
| 85.0% | 79.10 EUR | +120.45 |
| 90.0% | 83.76 EUR | +156.33 |