RenewTrack

Capture Price Analytics

Analyze renewable energy capture prices and cannibalisation effects across European markets

Markets

Select one or more markets to analyze

Technology

Time Period

PPA Calculator

Latest Capture Rate

75.9%

-2.1%

Avg Capture Rate

76.0%

Trend

-2.1 pp/year

Data Months

34

Avg Baseload

84.1 EUR/MWh

Avg Capture

64.4 EUR/MWh

Avg Spread

19.7 EUR/MWh

Min Rate

69.1%

Max Rate

82.0%

Capture Rate Time Series

Monthly capture rates with 12-month rolling average for Germany - Solar PV

Monthly Rate
12M Rolling Average

Baseload vs Capture Price Spread

Monthly baseload price, capture price, and spread (EUR/MWh)

Capture Price
Spread (Discount)

Cannibalisation Projection

Projected capture rate evolution under different renewable penetration scenarios

Low RE Penetration
Base Case
High RE Penetration

Fair PPA Price Calculation

NPV-neutral PPA price based on capture rate projections (10-year term, 8.0% discount rate)

Fair PPA Price

63.48

EUR/MWh

Implied discount: 31.8%

Avg capture rate: 68.4%

Sensitivity Analysis

Capture RatePPA PriceNPV Impact
60.0%55.84 EUR-58.93
65.0%60.49 EUR-23.05
70.0%65.14 EUR+12.82
75.0%69.80 EUR+48.70
80.0%74.45 EUR+84.58
85.0%79.10 EUR+120.45
90.0%83.76 EUR+156.33